Recent Progress in the Fundamental Understanding of Tropical Cyclone Motion
Recent Progress in the Fundamental Understanding of Tropical Cyclone Motion
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DOI：
10.2151/jmsj.2020-001
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发表时间：
2020-03
期刊：
影响因子：
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通讯作者：
Kosuke Ito;Chun‐Chieh Wu;Kelvin T. F. Chan;R. Toumi;C. Davis
中科院分区：
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作者：
Kosuke Ito;Chun‐Chieh Wu;Kelvin T. F. Chan;R. Toumi;C. Davis
虽然对热带气旋移动的基本认识已经相当成熟，但仍在取得显著进展。本文总结了从简化的正压模式、全物理模式和数据分析中获得的关于TC运动的现有基础理论的新概念和更新，特别是自2014年以来。范围包括最近的工作之间的相互作用的TC和它的环境，和可预测性相关的TC运动。尽管传统的转向流、β -涡旋和非绝热加热的概念仍然很重要，但更全面地了解TC运动的控制机制可以为进一步改进路径预报提供重要基础。
While the fundamental understanding of tropical cyclone (TC) movement is fairly mature, notable advance-ments are still being made. This paper summarizes new concepts and updates to the existing fundamental theories on TC movement obtained from simplified barotropic models, full-physics models, and data analysis, particularly since 2014. The scope includes recent works on the interaction between a TC and its environment, and the predictability related to TC movement. Although conventional concepts of steering flow, β -gyre, and diabatic heating remain important, a more complete understanding of TC movement governing mechanisms can provide an important basis for further track forecast improvements.