Factor decomposition analysis and causal mechanism investigation on urban transport CO2 emissions: Comparative study on Shanghai and Tokyo
Factor decomposition analysis and causal mechanism investigation on urban transport CO2 emissions: Comparative study on Shanghai and Tokyo
复制标题
城市交通CO2排放因子分解分析及因果机制研究——上海与东京比较研究
DOI：
10.1016/j.enpol.2017.02.049
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发表时间：
2017-08-01
期刊：
影响因子：
9
通讯作者：
Mai, Xianmin
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Luo, Xiao;Dong, Liang;Mai, Xianmin
低碳城市发展被认为是缓解气候变化的一条有希望的途径，而交通部门在所有二氧化碳排放中占很大比例。调查城市交通二氧化碳排放的驱动因素并分析其因果机制，对于利益攸关方和政策制定者起草适当的低碳交通政策至关重要，而对发达国家和发展中国家的经验进行比较研究将从不断发展的角度提供有益的见解。迄今为止，已有大量的案例研究对中国城市交通CO2排放进行了分析，但缺乏深入的分解和因果机制分析，也缺乏比较研究。为了填补这一空白，本研究旨在对城市交通部门进行分解分析和因果机制调查研究，并对两个亚洲特大城市东京和上海进行比较研究。我们说明了城市交通部门的驱动力和每个因素的因果机制，并通过比较研究提供关键的政策见解。本研究的结果为上海的低碳城市规划实践提供了重要的启示，也为发展中国家的低碳城市规划提供了实践指导。
Low-carbon urban development has been regarded as a promising pathway for mitigating climate change, and the transportation sector makes a key contribution to a significant proportion of all CO2 emissions. Investigating the driving factors and analysing the causal mechanism on urban transport CO2 emissions is critical for stakeholders and policy-makers to draft appropriate policies for low-carbon transport, and conducting a comparative study on developed and developing countries' experiences will provide beneficial insights from an evolving perspective. To date, many emerging case studies have analysed urban transport CO2 emissions in China; however, they lack an in-depth decomposition and causal mechanism analyses as well as a comparative study. To fill this gap, this study aims to conduct a decomposition analysis and causal mechanism investigation study on the urban transport sector with comparative studies on two Asian mega cities, Tokyo and Shanghai. We illustrate the driving forces of the urban transport sector and the causal mechanism of each factor and provide critical policy insights through comparative studies. The outcomes of this study provide critical insights to recent practices in Shanghai as well as practical guidance to low-carbon urban planning in developing countries.