The Short and the Long of it: Timing of Mortality for Older Adults in a State Trauma System.
The Short and the Long of it: Timing of Mortality for Older Adults in a State Trauma System.
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DOI:
10.1016/j.jss.2021.06.042
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发表时间:
2021-12
期刊:
影响因子:
--
通讯作者:
Carr BG
中科院分区:
文献类型:
--
作者:
Kaufman EJ;Zebrowski AM;Holena DN;Loher P;Wiebe DJ;Carr BG
The impact of injury extends beyond the hospital stay, but trauma center performance metrics typically focus on in-hospital mortality. We compared risk adjusted rates of in-hospital and long-term mortality among Pennsylvania trauma centers. We hypothesized that centers with low rates of in-hospital mortality would also have low rates of long-term mortality. We identified injured patients (age ≥ 65) admitted to Pennsylvania trauma centers in 2013 and 2014 using the Pennsylvania Trauma Outcomes Study, a robust, state-wide trauma registry. We matched trauma registry records to Medicare claims from the years 2013–2015. Matching variables included admission date and patient demographics including date of birth, zip, sex, and race/ethnicity. Outcomes examined were inpatient, 30-day, and 1-year mortality. Multivariable logistic regression models including presenting physiology, comorbidities, injury characteristics, and demographics were developed to calculate expected mortality rates for each trauma center at each time point. Trauma center performance was assessed using observed-to-expected ratios and ranking for in-hospital, 30-day, and 1-year mortality. Of the 15,451 patients treated at 28 centers, 8.1% died before discharge or were discharged to hospice. Another 3.4% died within 30 days, and another 14.7% died within one year of injury. Of patients who survived hospitalization but died within 30 days, 92.5% were injured due to fall, and 75.0% sustained head injuries. Survival at one year was higher in patients discharged home (88.4%), compared to those discharged to a skilled nursing facility or long-term acute care hospital (72.7% and 52.6%, respectively). Three centers were identified as outliers (two low and one high) for in-hospital mortality, none of which were outliers when the horizon was stretched to 30 days from injury. At 30 days, two different low and two different high outliers were found. Nearly one-in-three injured older adults who die within 30 days of injury dies after hospital discharge. Hospital rankings for in-hospital mortality correlate poorly with long-term outcomes. These findings underscore the importance of looking beyond survival to discharge for quality improvement and benchmarking.
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