Probabilistic insights on a soil slope in San Francisco and a rock slope in Hong Kong

Probabilistic insights on a soil slope in San Francisco and a rock slope in Hong Kong
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DOI:
10.1080/17499518.2019.1606923
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发表时间:
2019-04
期刊:
Georisk: Assessment and Management of Risk for Engineered Systems and Geohazards
影响因子:
--
通讯作者:
B. Low
B. Low
中科院分区:
其他
文献类型:
--
作者:
B. Low

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摘要两个斜坡进行了概率分析,强调的见解和灵敏度信息可从设计点的一阶可靠性方法(FORM)。第一个案例是旧金山弗朗西斯科湾泥的水下斜坡,在挖掘过程中失败。第二个个案是香港一个被鉴定为潜在不稳定的岩石斜坡。介绍了基于FORM的可靠性分析和基于可靠性的设计(RBD)的见解,并讨论了RBD克服部分因子设计方法的一些局限性的能力。
ABSTRACT Two slopes are analysed probabilistically, emphasising the insights and sensitivity information obtainable from the design point of the first-order reliability method (FORM). The first case was an underwater slope in San Francisco Bay Mud that failed during excavation. The second case was a rock slope in Hong Kong which had been identified as being potentially unstable. Insights from FORM-based reliability analysis and reliability-based design (RBD) are presented, and RBD’s ability to overcome some of the limitations of partial factor design approaches are discussed.