The Interaction of Population, Industry and Land in Process of Urbanization in China: A Case Study in Jilin Province
The Interaction of Population, Industry and Land in Process of Urbanization in China: A Case Study in Jilin Province
复制标题
中国城镇化进程中人口、产业和土地的相互作用——以吉林省为例
DOI：
10.1007/s11769-018-0964-4
复制
发表时间：
2018-06-01
影响因子：
3.4
通讯作者：
Zhang Jing
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Liu Yanjun;Zhou Guolei;Zhang Jing
城镇化是一个涉及面广的复杂过程，人口、产业和土地城镇化是城镇化的三个重要方面。吉林省是中国的农业大省。这里人口、产业、土地城镇化的矛盾尤为突出，其耦合发展具有重要的现实意义。本文利用耦合模型对吉林省1990年、2000年和2010年的人口-产业-土地城市化耦合程度进行了测算。通过趋势面分析、全局和局部空间自相关分析了耦合度的空间格局。利用多元线性回归(MLR)模型和地理加权回归(GWR)模型对影响因素及其空间分异进行了分析。结果表明：1)吉林省人口-产业-土地城市化耦合程度较低。从时间尺度的变化看，大多数研究单位的城镇化越来越协调。从空间尺度上比较，不同行政级别的研究单位存在显著的空间差异。2)从全球变化趋势看，中部地区人口-产业-土地城市化耦合程度高于西部和东部地区。中部地区城镇化协调性较好，冷热点分布与总体基本一致。3)耦合度的空间格局与城市人口密度和人均城市建设用地影响系数的冷热点分布有关。耦合度空间格局的变化与城市人口密度影响系数的空间变化同步。4)城镇人口集聚程度是推动吉林省人口-产业-土地城镇化耦合格局的主要因素，其影响程度逐渐增大。此外，城市管理水平、城市扩张效率和市场消费能力也对耦合模式产生重要影响。
Urbanization is a complex process that covers a wide range of topics, of which population, industry and land urbanization are three important aspects. Jilin Province is an important agricultural province in China. The contradiction between population, industry and land urbanization is especially prominent here, and its coupling development is of great practical significance. In this paper, the coupling degree of population-industry-land urbanization in Jilin Province in 1990, 2000 and 2010 is measured by coupling mode. The spatial pattern of the coupling degree is analyzed by trend surface analysis and global and local spatial autocorrelation. The influence factors and their spatial differentiation are discussed using multiple linear regression (MLR) model and geographic weighted regression (GWR) model. The results show that: 1) the coupling degree of population-industry-land urbanization in Jilin Province is at a low level. Judging from the change of time scale, the urbanization of most research units is becoming more and more coordinated. From the comparison of spatial scales, there is significant spatial difference in the research units of different administrative levels. 2) Judging from the global change trend, the coupling degree of population-industry-land urbanization in the central region is higher than that in western and eastern regions. The coordination of urbanization in the central region is relatively good, and the distribution of the cold and hot spots is basically the same as that overall. 3) The spatial pattern of the coupling degree is related to the cold and hot spot distribution of the influence coefficient of urban population density and per capita urban construction land. The variation of the coupling degree spatial pattern is synchronous with the spatial change of the urban population density influence coefficient. 4) The degree of agglomeration of the urban population is the main factor promoting the coupling pattern of population-industry-land urbanization in Jilin Province, and the extent of its influence is gradually increasing. In addition, the level of city administrative, the efficiency of urban expansion and the capacity of market consumption also have an important influence on the coupling pattern.