Voting Records and Validated Voting Studies
Voting Records and Validated Voting Studies
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投票记录和经过验证的投票研究
DOI：
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发表时间：
2004
期刊：
影响因子：
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通讯作者：
C. A. Cassel
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
C. A. Cassel
本研究报告探讨了多报投票或投票记录（或两者）的人是否会导致自我报告和验证的选民投票率研究的不同结果。Presser，Traugott，and Traugott（1990）提出了一种可能性，即在自我报告的转换研究中发现的过度报告偏倚可能是验证错误的假象。他们表明，劣质的投票记录可能会阻止验证者在中心城市、南部和非洲裔美国人社区找到实际投票的证据。这是政治科学家的一个关键问题，因为一些研究发现，过度报道者会对相同或重叠变量的影响产生偏见。Abramson和Claggett（1984，1986，1989，1991）发现，过度报道者改变了种族对结果的影响。伯恩斯坦、Chadha和Montjoy（2001）发现，过度报道改变了种族、居住在南方腹地、西班牙裔、地区和种族的相互作用以及少数民族集中度的影响。Cassel（2002，2003）发现，过度报道改变了种族、南方居住地和西班牙裔的影响。1过去的研究仍然有几个问题没有回答。那些谎称投票的非选民是否扭曲了我们对非裔美国人种族、南方居民、西班牙裔和相关变量的影响的预测？或者，在一些投票区，低劣的投票记录会导致验证者少算非洲裔美国人、南方人或西班牙裔选民吗？验证误差的大小是多少？
This research note examines whether people who overreport voting or voting records (or both) account for different re sults from self-reported and validated voter turnout research. Presser, Traugott, and Traugott (1990) raised the possibility that findings of overreporting bias in self-reported turnou t studies may be artifacts of validation error. They showed that inferior voting records may deter validators from finding evidence of actual voting in central cities, the South, and African American communities. This is a critical concern for political scientists because some studies have found that overreporters bias the effects of the same or overlapping variables. Abramson and Claggett (1984, 1986, 1989, 1991) found that overreporters alter the effect of race on tu rnout. Bernstein, Chadha, and Montjoy (2001) found that overreporters alter th e effect of race, residence in the Deep South, Hispanic ethnicity, the interaction of region and race, and minority concentration. Cassel (2002, 2003) found that overreporters alter the effect of race, southern residence, and Hispanic ethnicity. 1 Past research still leaves several questions unanswered. Do nonvoters who falsely claim to vote distort what we might otherwise predict about the effect of African American race, southern residence, Hispanic ethnicity, a nd related variables? Or do inferior voting records in some voting districts cause validators to undercount African American, southern, or Hispanic voters? What is the magnitude of validation error?