Assessing the effects of metropolitan-wide quarantine on the spread of COVID-19 in public space and households
Assessing the effects of metropolitan-wide quarantine on the spread of COVID-19 in public space and households
复制标题
评估大都市范围内的隔离对 COVID-19 在公共场所和家庭中传播的影响
DOI：
10.1016/j.ijid.2020.05.019
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发表时间：
2020-07-01
影响因子：
8.4
通讯作者：
Zhang, Lei
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Shen, Mingwang;Peng, Zhihang;Zhang, Lei
中国湖北省已于2020年1月23日和4月8日完成了恢复隔离周期，这为评估其干预影响和隔离期间SARS-COV-2的传播模式提供了一个独特的机会。在这项研究中，我们评估了全城市隔离对中国湖北省COVID-19流行趋势和传播途径的影响。这一干预措施减少了家庭和公共场所70%以上的新发感染，并减少了COVID-19肺炎造成的死亡。无论隔离与否，家庭传播是疾病传播的主要途径。这将为目前处于隔离状态的世界其他国家提供重要证据和科学见解。(C) 2020作者。由爱思唯尔有限公司代表国际传染病学会出版。
Hubei province in China has completed cycle of quarantine-resumption in 23rd Janauary and 8th April 2020, providing a unique opportunity as for now to assess its intervention impact and the pattern of SARS-COV-2 transmission during the quarantine period. In this study, we evaluate the impact of the metropolitan-wide quarantine on the trend and transmission route of the COVID-19 epidemic in Hubei, China. The intervention reduces more than 70% of new infections in both households and the public space, as well as the deaths caused by COVID-19 pneumonia. Household transmission is the dominant route of disease spread regardless of quarantine. This will provide important evidence and scientific insights to other worldwide countries that are currently under quarantine. (C) 2020 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Ltd on behalf of International Society for Infectious Diseases.