Individual Decisions to Migrate During Civil Conflict
Individual Decisions to Migrate During Civil Conflict
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DOI：
10.1007/s13524-011-0016-5
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发表时间：
2011-05-01
期刊：
影响因子：
3.5
通讯作者：
Massey, Douglas S.
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Bohra-Mishra, Pratikshya;Massey, Douglas S.
关于强迫移徙的现有文献限制了我们对暴力如何影响移徙到竞争目的地的理解。这篇文章通过研究尼泊尔中南部内战期间的武装暴力如何影响当地、国内和国际移民的可能性，增加了关于强迫移民的文献。我们发现，暴力对移民具有非线性影响，低到中等水平的暴力会降低迁移的几率，但当暴力达到高水平时，迁移的几率会增加。我们还发现，随着迁移距离的增加，暴力对流动性的影响也会增加。当我们考虑暴力对微观决策的影响时，我们发现，个人和家庭层面的决定因素的影响与当代自愿移徙理论得出的假设基本一致，没有任何移徙预测因素会在存在暴力的情况下以不同的方式影响移徙决定。
The existing literature on forced migration limits our understanding of how violence affects migration to competing destinations. This article adds to the literature on forced migration by studying how armed violence during a period of civil conflict in south-central Nepal influenced the likelihood of local, internal, and international migration. We find that violence has a nonlinear effect on migration, such that low to moderate levels of violence reduce the odds of movement, but when violence reaches high levels, the odds of movement increase. We also find that the effect of violence on mobility increases as the distance of the move increases. When we consider the influence of violence on microlevel decision-making, we find that the effects of individual and household-level determinants were mostly consistent with hypotheses derived from contemporary theories of voluntary migration and that no predictor of migration influenced the decision to migrate differently in the presence of violence.