EPIDEMIC INFLUENZA IN GREATER-LONDON
EPIDEMIC INFLUENZA IN GREATER-LONDON
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DOI：
10.1017/s0022172400060988
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发表时间：
1984-01-01
影响因子：
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通讯作者：
LAWRENCE, CJ
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
SPICER, CC;LAWRENCE, CJ
科马赫和麦肯德里克的流行病理论被应用于1950-78年大伦敦地区死于流感和流感肺炎的数据。总体而言，该理论很好地描述了数据，参数的估计值可以可信地与疾病的自然病史相关。然而，存在这样一种可能性，即该协议仅仅是经验上的，需要进行实地研究才能证实其有效性。
The Kermach and McKendrick theory of epidemics was applied to data on deaths from influenza and influenzal pneumonia in Greater London in 1950-78. As a whole, the theory gives a good description of the data, and estimated values of the parameters can be plausibly related to the natural history of the disease. However, the possibility exists that the agreement is merely empirical, and field studies would be required to confirm its validity.