Morbidity and Mortality After Acute Myocardial Infarction After Elective Major Noncardiac Surgery.

Morbidity and Mortality After Acute Myocardial Infarction After Elective Major Noncardiac Surgery.
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择期重大非心脏手术后急性心肌梗死的发病率和死亡率。

DOI:
10.1053/j.jvca.2020.10.016
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发表时间:
2021-03
影响因子:
2.8
通讯作者:
Rubin DS
Rubin DS
中科院分区:
医学4区
文献类型:
--
作者:
Ranjeva SL;Tung A;Nagele P;Rubin DS

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目的:建立急性心肌梗死(AMI)围手术期住院死亡率和发病风险的简约模型。回顾性数据分析。全国住院病人样本(2008 - 2013),美国所有非联邦住院病人住院的20%样本。年龄在45岁及以上的非心脏手术患者在择期住院期间发生AMI。我们使用混合主成分分析和多变量logistic回归来确定AMI围手术期住院死亡率的危险因素。我们比较了一个仅包含术前危险因素的模型,该模型由修订心脏危险指数(RCRI)术前风险定义,与一个包含大量术前AMI危险因素的“全危险因素”模型。然后,我们评估ami后处置到中间护理机构或熟练护理机构的风险,这是功能损伤的标志。我们确定了15574例选择性非心脏手术后AMI(0.42%,相当于全国78,122例),住院死亡率为12.4%。“仅rcri”模型是ami后住院死亡风险的最佳拟合模型,与“全风险因素”模型(AUC)相比,预测准确性没有下降。80, 95% CI [0.77, 0.82] vs. AUC 0.81, 95% CI[0.77, 0.83])。脓毒症等围手术期并发症导致ami后死亡风险最高(OR 4.95, 95% CI[4.32, 5.67])。相反,“完全危险因素”模型最能预测功能损害,并且在很大程度上依赖于慢性术前合并症。RCRI为AMI围手术期院内死亡的术前危险因素提供了一个简单而充分的模型。
To develop parsimonious models of in-hospital mortality and morbidity risk after perioperative acute myocardial infarction (AMI). Retrospective data analysis. National Inpatient Sample (2008 – 2013), a 20% sample of all non-federal in-patient hospitalizations in the United States. Patients aged 45 years or older who experienced perioperative AMI during elective admission for non-cardiac surgery. We used mixed principal components analysis and multivariable logistic regression to identify risk factors for in-hospital mortality after perioperative AMI. We compared a model incorporating only pre-operative risk factors defined by the Revised Cardiac Risk Index (RCRI) preoperative risk to a “full risk factor” model incorporating a large set of preoperative AMI risk factors. We then evaluated the risk of post-AMI disposition to an intermediate care or skilled nursing facility, a marker of functional impairment. We identified 15,574 cases of AMI after elective non-cardiac surgery (0.42%, corresponding to 78,122 cases nationally), with a 12.4% in-hospital mortality rate. The “RCRI-only” model was the best-fit model of post-AMI in-hospital mortality risk, without loss of predictive accuracy compared to the “full risk factor” model (AUC .80, 95% CI [0.77, 0.82] vs. AUC 0.81, 95% CI [0.77, 0.83], respectively). Post-AMI mortality risk was highest for peri-operative complications including sepsis (OR 4.95, 95% CI [4.32, 5.67]). Conversely, functional impairment was best predicted by the “full risk factor” model and depended strongly on chronic preoperative comorbidities. The RCRI provides a simple but adequate model of pre-operative risk factors for in-hospital mortality after peri-operative AMI.
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发表时间: 2013-09-01
影响因子: 4.2
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