Institutions, governmental performance and the rise of political newcomers
Institutions, governmental performance and the rise of political newcomers
复制标题
制度、政府绩效和政治新人的崛起
DOI：
--
复制
发表时间：
2017
期刊：
影响因子：
--
通讯作者：
Miguel Carreras
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Miguel Carreras
本文分析了促进政治新人当选为民主政权政府首脑的制度和背景因素。根据1945年至2015年间870次民主选举的数据，研究发现，在总统制、新民主制和政党制度制度薄弱的情况下，政治新人更有可能取得成功。没有政治经验的候选人当选也与政府的业绩有关。当政府的经济表现不好，当政府从事高层腐败时，政治新人更成功。
This article analyses the institutional and contextual factors that facilitate the election of political newcomers as heads of government in democratic regimes. Using data from 870 democratic elections between 1945 and 2015, it is found that political newcomers are more likely to be successful in presidential systems, in new democracies and when party systems are weakly institutionalised. The election of politically inexperienced candidates is also related to governmental performance. Political newcomers are more successful when the economic performance of the government is bad and when the government engages in high-level corruption.