Density dependence in demography and dispersal generates fluctuating invasion speeds
Density dependence in demography and dispersal generates fluctuating invasion speeds
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DOI:
10.1073/pnas.1618744114
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发表时间:
2016-09
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影响因子:
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通讯作者:
L. Sullivan;Bingtuan Li;T. Miller;M. Neubert;Allison K. Shaw
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文献类型:
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作者:
L. Sullivan;Bingtuan Li;T. Miller;M. Neubert;Allison K. Shaw
Significance Mitigating the spread of invasive species remains difficult—substantial variability in invasion speed is increasingly well-documented, but the sources of this variability are poorly understood. We report a mechanism for invasion speed variability. The combined action of density dependence in demography and dispersal can cause invasions to fluctuate, even in constant environments. Speed fluctuations occur through creation of a pushed invasion wave that moves forward not from small populations at the leading edge but instead, from larger, more established populations that “jump” forward past the previous invasion front. Variability in strength of the push generates fluctuating invasion speeds. Conditions giving rise to fluctuations are widely documented in nature, suggesting that an important source of invasion variability may be overlooked. Density dependence plays an important role in population regulation and is known to generate temporal fluctuations in population density. However, the ways in which density dependence affects spatial population processes, such as species invasions, are less understood. Although classical ecological theory suggests that invasions should advance at a constant speed, empirical work is illuminating the highly variable nature of biological invasions, which often exhibit nonconstant spreading speeds, even in simple, controlled settings. Here, we explore endogenous density dependence as a mechanism for inducing variability in biological invasions with a set of population models that incorporate density dependence in demographic and dispersal parameters. We show that density dependence in demography at low population densities—i.e., an Allee effect—combined with spatiotemporal variability in population density behind the invasion front can produce fluctuations in spreading speed. The density fluctuations behind the front can arise from either overcompensatory population growth or density-dependent dispersal, both of which are common in nature. Our results show that simple rules can generate complex spread dynamics and highlight a source of variability in biological invasions that may aid in ecological forecasting.