ECOLOGICAL REGRESSION AND VOTING-RIGHTS

ECOLOGICAL REGRESSION AND VOTING-RIGHTS
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DOI:
10.1177/0193841x9101500602
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发表时间:
1991-12-01
期刊:
影响因子:
0.9
通讯作者:
EVERETT, CG
EVERETT, CG
中科院分区:
法学4区
文献类型:
--
作者:
FREEDMAN, DA;KLEIN, SP;EVERETT, CG

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生态退化是根据1965年《选举权法》提起的诉讼的统计支柱。 该技术是在1990年对洛杉矶县的诉讼中讨论的。 生态回归依赖于对政治行为的非常强的假设。 作者确定了这些假设,并表明它们没有得到数据的支持。 还描述了一种替代的“邻域模型”,该模型先验地更合理,并且更好地拟合事实。邻里模型对投票行为得出了完全不同的结论。
Ecological regression is a statistical mainstay in litigation brought under the Voting Rights Act of 1965. The technique is discussed in the context of a suit against the County of Los Angeles that came to trial in 1990. Ecological regression depends on very strong assumptions about political behavior. The authors identify these assumptions and show that they are not supported by the data. Also described is an alternative "neighborhood model," which is a priori more plausible and fits the facts better. The neighborhood model leads to quite different conclusions about voting behavior.