Impact of high-speed rail on social equity in China: Evidence from a mode choice survey
Impact of high-speed rail on social equity in China: Evidence from a mode choice survey
复制标题
DOI：
10.1016/j.tra.2020.05.018
复制
发表时间：
2020-08
影响因子：
6.4
通讯作者：
Xiaohong Ren;Zhenhua Chen;F. Wang;Ting Dan;Wei Wang;Xiaotong Guo;Chunhua Liu
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Xiaohong Ren;Zhenhua Chen;F. Wang;Ting Dan;Wei Wang;Xiaotong Guo;Chunhua Liu
本文研究了与高铁社会影响相关的两个基本问题：(1)高铁基础设施的发展是否导致某些社会群体被排斥？以及(2)哪些因素将某些用户排除在使用高铁之外？在对中国4,924名选择常规轨道交通的旅客进行全面调查的基础上，采用二元和多项式Logit分析方法，考察了社会经济和列车运行条件等因素对重庆始发旅客出行方式选择的影响程度。分析表明，票价、出行习惯、行程距离和车载便利设施等因素对乘客是否选择传统铁路而不是高铁起到了重要作用。相反，研究表明，较低的收入和教育水平与选择传统列车而不是高铁的几率分别高出24.1%和25.3%。此外，研究还表明，中国不同地区对常规铁路的偏好不同。特别是，研究发现，当高铁开通后，人们更不愿意选择西部和中部地区的传统列车，而不是东部地区。这样的模式表明，高铁作为一种新的城际出行方式，已经成为许多人的首选方式，甚至对中国欠发达地区的人来说也是如此。然而，一些来自西部欠发达省份的乘客也被发现有更强烈的被排除在高铁之外的感觉，因为他们担心高铁票价过高，以及个人对高铁服务城市的看法。总体而言，这项研究对实现客运铁路系统可持续运营和发展的规划和政策制定具有重要意义。
This paper investigates two fundamental questions related to the social impact of high-speed rail (HSR): (1) does the development of HSR infrastructure lead to the exclusion of certain social groups? and (2) what factors exclude certain users from using HSR? Based on a comprehensive survey of 4,924 passengers who chose conventional rail services in China, both binary and multinomial logit analyses were conducted to examine to what extent the mode choice of passengers who departed from Chongqing was affected by various factors, including socioeconomic and train service conditions. The analyses reveal that factors such as fare, travel habits, trip distance, and onboard amenities play significant roles in whether passengers choose conventional rail over HSR. Conversely, the study shows that lower incomes and education levels are associated with higher odds of choosing conventional trains over HSR by 24.1% and 25.3%, respectively. Furthermore, the study shows that the preference of conventional rail to HSR varies among different regions in China. In particular, people were found to prefer less to choose conventional trains in the west and central regions than the east region when the HSR service becomes available. Such a pattern suggests that HSR as a new mode of intercity travel, has become a preferred mode for many people, even for those in the less developed regions in China. However, some passengers from less developed western provinces were also found to have a stronger sense of being excluded from using HSR, given the concerns of high fares and personal perception of cities that the system serves. Overall, this study provides important implications for planning and policy-making to achieve sustainable operations and the development of the passenger rail system.