Implications for ACOs of variations in spending growth.
Implications for ACOs of variations in spending growth.
复制标题
支出增长变化对 ACO 的影响。
DOI:
10.1056/nejmp1202004
复制
发表时间:
2012
期刊:
影响因子:
--
通讯作者:
Song,Zirui
中科院分区:
文献类型:
--
作者:
McWilliams,JMichael;Song,Zirui
The Medicare Pioneer and Shared Savings Accountable Care Organization (ACO) programs have offered health care provider organizations the opportunity to enter into contracts with Medicare under which they assume financial risk and are rewarded for providing highquality care at lower cost. In both programs, spending targets for ACOs will be determined on the basis of baseline Medicare spending for assigned populations of beneficiaries, projected forward by average increases in national Medicare spending. According to the rules for the Medicare Shared Savings Program, 1 the rationale for using national spending growth factors is to exert greater downward pressure on organizations in regions with high spending and rapid spending growth, while permitting greater savings in regions of low spending and slow growth to support organizational investments in infrastructure.Because Medicare spending levels are not geographically correlated with growth rates, however, national spending growth exceeds local growth in many high-spending areas and is lower than local growth in many low-spending areas. 2 For example, according to Dartmouth Atlas estimates of per-beneficiary Medicare spending in 2008 and growth rates from 2007 to 2008, each of the following four categories described at least 15% of the 306 US hospitalreferral regions (HRRs): low-spending, low-growth; low-spending, high-growth; highspending, low-growth; and high-spending, high-growth (see table). Forty-three percent of HRRs were in the middle two categories with discordant spending levels and growth rates.