Living the global social experiment: An analysis of public discourse on solar radiation management and its implications for governance

Living the global social experiment: An analysis of public discourse on solar radiation management and its implications for governance
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DOI:
10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2012.12.008
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发表时间:
2013-04-01
影响因子:
8.9
通讯作者:
Szerszynski, Bronislaw
Szerszynski, Bronislaw
中科院分区:
环境科学与生态学1区
文献类型:
--
作者:
Macnaghten, Phil;Szerszynski, Bronislaw

文献摘要

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太阳辐射管理技术是一类地球工程方法,旨在将一些进入的阳光反射回太空,其预期效果是阻止地球进一步变暖,从而抵消全球变暖。在本文中,我们研究了当前关于太阳辐射管理治理的争论,澄清了一些持续存在的假设以及为什么这些假设需要进一步审查。在现有研究的基础上,我们阐明了社会科学应该在公众参与太阳辐射管理方面发挥更关键的作用。我们开发了一种审议性焦点小组方法,旨在展开对该技术的审议,明确关注其部署将带来的世界类型。我们的研究结果基于对公众讨论的分析,表明太阳辐射管理只有在非常具体且高度偶然的条件下才会被公众接受。鉴于这些条件在现实世界中实现的感觉不太可信,我们列出了对太阳辐射管理治理的影响。我们解释了为什么太阳辐射管理被认为可能创造一种特殊的世界,一个地缘政治冲突可能性增加、全球实验性的新条件以及对民主治理的重大威胁的世界。如何将这些问题纳入太阳辐射管理治理,对社会科学来说具有重要但具有挑战性的作用。 (C) 2012 Elsevier Ltd. 保留所有权利。
Solar radiation management techniques are a class of geoengineering methods designed to reflect some of the inbound sunlight back into space with the intended effect of arresting further warming of the planet and thus counteracting global warming. In this article we examine current debates on solar radiation management governance, clarifying a number of assumptions that persist and why these require further scrutiny. Building on existing research we articulate a more critical role that the social sciences should be playing in public engagement with solar radiation management. We develop a deliberative focus group methodology that aims to open up deliberation on the technology, focusing explicitly on the kinds of world that its deployment would bring into being. Our findings, based on an analysis of public discourse, suggest that solar radiation management would be publicly acceptable only under very specific, and highly contingent, conditions. Given the sensed implausibility of these conditions being realised in the real world, we set out the implications for solar radiation management governance. We explain why solar radiation management was perceived as likely to create a particular kind of world, one with an increased probability of geopolitical conflict, a new condition of global experimentality, and major threats to democratic governance. How to bring these issues into solar radiation management governance entails an important but challenging role for the social sciences. (C) 2012 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.