The spatial patterns and determinants of internal migration of older adults in China from 1995 to 2015
The spatial patterns and determinants of internal migration of older adults in China from 1995 to 2015
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DOI：
10.1007/s11442-022-2060-z
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发表时间：
2022-02
影响因子：
4.9
通讯作者：
Ye Liu;Cuiying Huang;Rongwei Wu;Zehan Pan;Hengyu Gu
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
Ye Liu;Cuiying Huang;Rongwei Wu;Zehan Pan;Hengyu Gu
尽管中国是世界上人口老龄化发展最快的国家之一，但中国老年人的迁移问题却很少受到学术界的关注。长期以来，他们在整个国家的移徙全貌仍然不得而知。本研究利用四次人口普查数据和两次人口普查之间的人口抽样调查数据，考察了1995 - 2015年中国老年人省际迁移流动的空间格局及其驱动因素。特征向量空间过滤负二项回归的结果表明，老年人往往会从生活成本低的农村地区迁移到生活成本高的城市和农村地区，远离温差极大的地区。他们孙辈的位置是最重要的吸引力之一。我们的研究结果表明，在中国退休老年人中，以家庭为导向的移民比以舒适为导向的移民更常见，生活成本是成年子女经济机会和老年护理服务质量的指标。
Although China was one of the countries with the fastest-growing aging population in the world, limited scholarly attention has been paid to migration among older adults in China. The full picture of their migration in the entire country over time remains unknown. This study examines the spatial patterns of older interprovincial migration flows and their drivers in China over the period 1995 to 2015, using four waves of census data and intercensal population sample survey data. Results from eigenvector spatial filtering negative binomial regressions indicate that older adults tend to migrate away from low cost-of-living rural areas to high cost-of-living urban and rural areas, moving away from areas with extreme temperature differences. The location of their grandchildren is among the most important attractions. Our findings suggest that family-oriented migration is more common than amenity-led migration among retired Chinese older adults, and the cost-of-living is an indicator of economic opportunities for adult children and the quality of senior care services.