Integration of Simulation‐Based Cost Model and Multi‐Criteria Evaluation Model for Bid Price Decisions
Integration of Simulation‐Based Cost Model and Multi‐Criteria Evaluation Model for Bid Price Decisions
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DOI：
10.1111/j.1467-8667.2007.00480.x
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发表时间：
2007-04
期刊：
影响因子：
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通讯作者：
Wei-Chih Wang;R. Dzeng;Yu-Huang Lu
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
Wei-Chih Wang;R. Dzeng;Yu-Huang Lu
翻译后摘要：几个标准影响投标决策。目前的投标模式根据固定的项目建设成本确定加价。这项工作提出了一种新的投标价格确定程序，它是通过集成基于模拟的成本模型和多标准评估模型。成本模型用于考虑成本不确定性并生成投标价格累积分布，而多标准评估模型应用成对比较和模糊积分来反映投标人对决策标准的偏好。这两个模型之间的关系是基于一个实际的现象，即投标人有一个高的概率获胜时，标准的评价有利于他的出价，因此，投标人将出价低，反之亦然。建议的程序的优点是证明其应用于两个建设项目在台湾。
Abstract: Several criteria affect bidding decisions. Current bidding models determine a markup based on a fixed project construction cost. This work presents a novel bid price determination procedure that is built by integrating a simulation‐based cost model and a multi‐criteria evaluation model. The cost model is used to consider cost uncertainties and generate a bid price cumulative distribution, whereas the multi‐criteria evaluation model applies pairwise comparisons and fuzzy integrals to reflect bidder preferences regarding decision criteria. The relationship between the two models is based on a practical phenomenon in that a bidder has a high probability of winning when criteria evaluations favor his bid, and, consequently, the bidder would bid a low price, and vice versa. The merits of the proposed procedure are demonstrated by its application to two construction projects in Taiwan.