The validity of engineering judgment and expert opinion in hazard and risk analysis: The influence of cognitive biases
The validity of engineering judgment and expert opinion in hazard and risk analysis: The influence of cognitive biases
复制标题
危害和风险分析中工程判断和专家意见的有效性：认知偏差的影响
DOI：
10.1002/prs.11906
复制
发表时间：
2018
影响因子：
1
通讯作者：
P. Baybutt
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
P. Baybutt
危害和风险分析在很大程度上依赖于人类的决策，以工程判断和专家意见的形式。人类的决策可能会因经验和认知偏差的影响而存在缺陷。这些心理因素的影响可能使危害和风险分析研究的结果无效。必须谨慎管理，以尽量减少其可能的不利影响。本文提供了一个实用的认知偏见和指导，如何解决他们在危害和风险分析的观点。© 2017美国化学工程师学会Process SafProg 37：205-210，2018
Hazard and risk analysis depends heavily on human decision making in the form of engineering judgment and expert opinion. Human decision making may be flawed by the effects of heuristics and cognitive biases. The influence of these psychological factors may invalidate the results of hazard and risk analysis studies. They must be managed carefully to minimize their possible adverse impacts. This article provides a pragmatic view of cognitive biases and guidance on how to address them in hazard and risk analysis. © 2017 American Institute of Chemical Engineers Process Saf Prog 37: 205–210, 2018