Salvini’s success and the collapse of the Five-star Movement: The European elections of 2019
Salvini’s success and the collapse of the Five-star Movement: The European elections of 2019
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萨尔维尼的成功与五星级运动的崩溃：2019年欧洲选举
DOI：
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发表时间：
2020
期刊：
影响因子：
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通讯作者：
Vincenzo Emanuele
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
Alessandro Chiaramonte;Lorenzo De Sio;Vincenzo Emanuele
摘要2019年意大利欧洲议会选举可以被视为国家政治制度的重要转折点。事实上，政党之间的权力平衡和政府动态都受到2019年选举结果的深刻影响。在明显的选举不稳定的背景下，所谓的黄绿多数派的两个伙伴之间发生了几乎完美的转变：与2018年议会选举相比，马泰奥·萨尔维尼联盟的选票份额翻了一番，而五星运动的支持率减半。选举结果揭示了两个执政伙伴在议会和选民中权力分配的不对称，标志着第一届孔特政府结束的开始。它最终导致了M5和民主党之间的意外和解，这反过来又导致了夏季末第二届孔特政府的形成。本文分析了2019年意大利欧洲议会选举的结果。特别是，它侧重于竞选活动的背景和民意趋势，投票率和政党支持率方面的选举结果，以及主要政党在2018年至2019年期间经历的投票变化。最后，文章还讨论了选举结果对意大利政党制度演变的启示
ABSTRACT The European Parliament elections of 2019 in Italy can be considered as a crucial turning point for the national political system. Indeed, both the balance of power among parties and the governmental dynamics were deeply affected by the outcome of the 2019 elections. In a context of notable electoral instability, an almost perfect turnaround among the two partners of the so-called yellow-green majority occurred: Matteo Salvini’s League doubled its vote share compared to the 2018 parliamentary elections, while the Five-star Movement halved its support. By revealing the asymmetry in the distribution of power in Parliament and in the electorate between the two governing partners, the election outcome marked the beginning of the end for the first Conte government. It eventually led to the unexpected reconciliation between the M5s and the Democratic Party, which in turn resulted in the formation of the second Conte government at the end of the summer. This article analyses the outcome of the European Parliament elections of 2019 in Italy. In particular, it focuses on the context of the electoral campaign and trends in public opinion, the election results in terms of turnout and party support, and the vote shifts experienced by the main parties between 2018 and 2019. Finally, the article also discusses the implications of the election outcome for the evolution of the Italian party system