Describing and explaining urban freight transport by System Dynamics

Describing and explaining urban freight transport by System Dynamics
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DOI:
10.1016/j.trpro.2017.05.480
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发表时间:
2017
期刊:
Transportation research procedia
影响因子:
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通讯作者:
C. Thaller;Friedrich Niemann;Benjamin Dahmen;U. Clausen;Bert Leerkamp
C. Thaller;Friedrich Niemann;Benjamin Dahmen;U. Clausen;Bert Leerkamp
中科院分区:
其他
文献类型:
--
作者:
C. Thaller;Friedrich Niemann;Benjamin Dahmen;U. Clausen;Bert Leerkamp

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的总体方法的目标是开发一个系统动力学(SD)为基础的微观货运模拟(MFTS)的城市地区。在这方面的贡献,定性的SD方法-因果循环图-与城市货运的内部结构和利益相关者,以及他们的相互依存关系,是透明的。在因果循环的基础上,将在接下来的SD建模步骤中推导出定量和数学形式化的SD方法。该SD模型可通过中长期预测进行趋势分析。
The objective of the overarching approach is to develop a System Dynamics (SD) based microscopic freight transport simulation (MFTS) for urban areas. In this contribution, the qualitative SD approach – causal loop diagram – with the internal structure of urban freight transport and the stakeholders involved, as well as their interdependencies to each other, are transparently presented. On the basis of the causal loops a quantitative and mathematically formalised SD approach will be derived in the next SD modelling steps. This SD model enables trend analyses by medium- and long-term forecasts.