Convenience Voting Can Affect Election Outcomes

Convenience Voting Can Affect Election Outcomes
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便利投票会影响选举结果

DOI:
10.1089/elj.2010.0088
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发表时间:
2011
期刊:
The Journal of Politics
影响因子:
--
通讯作者:
Neil Malhotra
Neil Malhotra
中科院分区:
--
文献类型:
--
作者:
M. Meredith;Neil Malhotra

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方便投票的形式,包括通过邮件投票(VBM),为公民提供了投票的机会,而不会接触到选举日前最后几周透露的信息。这就造成了信息差异将导致VBM和投票站选民投票不同的可能性。我们检验这一假设,看看是否增加使用VBM在选区一级涉及到候选人的选票份额在2008年加州总统初选。在加州的选举管理政策,其中所有的选民被分配到VBM的基础上的注册选民的数量的任意阈值,被利用来克服所造成的识别问题,由选民的自我选择到VBM。我们表明,使用VBM影响的相对表现的候选人留在比赛中,并增加了选择撤回候选人的概率。我们的研究结果对选举管理政策和选举管理的研究都有启示。
Abstract Forms of convenience voting, including voting-by-mail (VBM), provide citizens the opportunity to cast ballots without being exposed to the information revealed in the final weeks leading up to Election Day. This creates the possibility that informational differences will cause VBM and polling place voters to vote differently. We test this hypothesis by looking at whether the increased use of VBM at the precinct-level relates to candidates' vote shares in the 2008 California presidential primary. An election administration policy in California, in which all voters are assigned to VBM based on an arbitrary threshold of the number of registered voters, is exploited to overcome the identification problem caused by the self-selection of voters into VBM. We show that the use of VBM affects the relative performance of candidates remaining in the race and increases the probability of selecting withdrawn candidates. Our findings have implications both for election administration policy and for the study o...
DOI: 10.2307/2149903
发表时间: 1981-01
期刊: --
影响因子: --
作者:
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通讯作者: M. Fiorina
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DOI: --
发表时间: 2023
期刊:
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