All Aboard: The Aggregate Effects of Port Development
All Aboard: The Aggregate Effects of Port Development
复制标题
全体上船：港口发展的综合效应
DOI：
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发表时间：
2019
期刊：
影响因子：
--
通讯作者：
C. Steinwender
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
C. Ducruet;R. Juhász;D. Nagy;C. Steinwender
本文研究了世纪后半叶发展起来的新港口技术的分配经济效应和总量经济效应。我们发现，新技术已经导致航运活动从大城市到小城市的重大重新分配。这是由土地价格机制驱动的;由于新的港口技术更加土地密集，港口从大的，高地价的城市转移到较小的，低地价的城市。我们加入内生港口发展的跨城市贸易的标准定量模型来说明港口发展的收益和成本。根据这一模式，采用新的港口技术通过增加市场准入带来好处，但成本高昂，需要大量使用土地，这意味着将航运活动重新分配到地价低的城市，从而从各城市不同的新港口技术中获得净收益。反事实的结果表明，新的港口技术为世界经济带来了相当大的总体收益，但各国的影响存在很大差异。更一般地说，内生地计算港口基础设施发展的成本有可能改变贸易收益的规模和分配。
This paper studies the distributional and aggregate economic effects of new port technologies developed in the second half of the 20th century. We show that new technologies have led to a significant reallocation of shipping activity from large to small cities. This was driven by a land price mechanism; as new port technologies are more land-intensive, ports moved from large, high land price cities to smaller, lower land price ones. We add endogenous port development to a standard quantitative model of cross-city trade to account for both the benefits and the costs of port development. According to the model, the adoption of new port technologies leads to benefits through increasing market access but is costly, requiring the extensive use of land, suggesting a reallocation of shipping activities towards cities with low land prices and thus net gains from new port technologies that are heterogeneous across cities. Counterfactual results suggest that new port technologies led to sizable aggregate gains for the world economy, with substantial heterogeneity in the effects across countries. More generally, accounting for the costs of port infrastructure development endogenously has the potential to alter the size and distribution of the gains from trade.
DOI：
10.3386/w25487
发表时间：
2019-01
期刊：
Econometric Modeling: Macroeconomics eJournal
影响因子：
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作者：
Treb Allen;Costas Arkolakis
通讯作者：
Treb Allen;Costas Arkolakis
DOI：
10.1093/qje/qjs011
发表时间：
2012-05
期刊：
The quarterly journal of economics
影响因子：
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作者：
Bleakley H;Lin J
通讯作者：
Lin J