When can odds ratios mislead?

When can odds ratios mislead?
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DOI:
10.1136/bmj.316.7136.989
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发表时间:
1998-03-28
影响因子:
--
通讯作者:
Tavakoli, M
Tavakoli, M
中科院分区:
医学1区
文献类型:
--
作者:
Davies, HTO;Crombie, IK;Tavakoli, M

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优势比是衡量效应大小的常用指标,可在病例对照研究、队列研究或临床试验中报告。越来越多地,它们也被用来报告来自系统审查和荟萃分析的结果。赔率比很难直接理解,通常被解释为相当于相对风险。不幸的是,存在一个公认的问题,即当初始风险(即利息结果的流行率)较高时,赔率比与相对风险并不是很接近。因此,存在这样一种危险,即如果将赔率比解释为相对风险,则它们可能会误导。
Odds ratios are a common measure of the size of an effect and may be reported in case-control studies, cohort studies, or clinical trials. Increasingly, they are also used to report the findings from systematic reviews and meta-analyses. Odds ratios are hard to comprehend directly and are usually interpreted as being equivalent to the relative risk. Unfortunately, there is a recognised problem that odds ratios do not approximate well to the relative risk when the initial risk (that is, the prevalence of the outcome of interest) is high. 1 2 Thus there is a danger that if odds ratios are interpreted as though they were relative risks then they may mislead.