Population attributable fractions for late postnatal mother-to-child transmission of HIV-1 in Sub-Saharan Africa.
Population attributable fractions for late postnatal mother-to-child transmission of HIV-1 in Sub-Saharan Africa.
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DOI:
10.1097/qai.0b013e3181d61c2e
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发表时间:
2010-07
期刊:
影响因子:
--
通讯作者:
Read JS
中科院分区:
文献类型:
--
作者:
Chen YQ;Young A;Brown ER;Chasela CS;Fiscus SA;Hoffman IF;Valentine M;Emel L;Taha TE;Goldenberg RL;Read JS
Assess population attributable fractions (PAFs) for late postnatal transmission (LPT) of human immunodeficiency virus-1 (HIV-1) in a cohort of HIV-1-exposed infants. We used data established from a risk factor analysis of LPT (negative HIV-1 results through the 4-6 week visit, but positive assays thereafter through the 12-month visit) from a perinatal clinical trial conducted in three sub-Saharan countries. PAFs were calculated as the proportions of excess LPTs attributed to identified risk factors. For the cohort of 1317 infants, 206 (15.6%) had only low maternal CD4+ counts (< 200 cells/mm3), 332 (25.2%) had only high maternal plasma viral loads (VLs) (> 50 000 copies/mL), and 81 (6.2%) had both low CD4+ counts and high VLs. Their PAFs were 26.0% [95% confidence interval (CI), 12.0%-36.0%], 37.0% (95% CI, 22.0%-51.0%) and 16.0% (95% CI, 6.0%-25.0%), respectively. Our PAF analysis illustrates the public health impact of the substantial proportion of LPTs accounted for by high-risk women with both low CD4+ counts and high VLs. In light of these results, access to and use of antiretroviral therapy (ART) by high-risk HIV-1-infected pregnant women is essential. Additional strategies to reduce LPT for those not meeting criteria for ART should be implemented.