A comprehensive study of life course, cohort, and period effects on changes in travel mode use
A comprehensive study of life course, cohort, and period effects on changes in travel mode use
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DOI：
10.1016/j.tra.2012.10.019
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发表时间：
2013-01-01
影响因子：
6.4
通讯作者：
Holz-Rau, Christian
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Scheiner, Joachim;Holz-Rau, Christian
本文研究的是人们出行方式使用从一年到下一年的变化。它是由三个不同的话语：旅行行为的变化，流动传记的方法，和队列分析。所使用的数据是1994-2008年德国流动性小组的数据，在该小组中，家庭及其成员在随后的三年中被要求三次报告他们在一周内的出行情况。报告的变化回归到生命过程中的关键事件，队列效应和时期效应，而各种社会人口和空间属性的控制。由于面板观测的非独立性，使用了聚类稳健回归方法。研究结果表明，随着时间的推移，在旅行方式使用的总体稳定性背后有很多变化的“表面下”，引起的生命历程的变化，个人和家庭的社会人口，和空间背景。生命历程相关的关键事件引起的变化有利于流动传记的概念。然而，接管所有关键事件似乎与模式使用变化的关系相对松散。尽管如此，基线变量的各种显着影响表明，即使在没有关键事件的情况下，模式使用也可能发生变化。(C)2012爱思唯尔有限公司版权所有。
This paper studies changes in people's travel mode use from one year to the next. It is informed by three distinct discourses: travel behaviour change, the mobility biographies approach, and cohort analysis. The data used is the German Mobility Panel (GMP) 1994-2008 in which households and their members are asked three times in three subsequent years to report the trips they made over a week. The changes reported are regressed to key events over the life course, cohort effects and period effects, while various sociodemographic and spatial attributes are controlled. Due to the non-independent nature of panel observations, a cluster-robust regression approach is used. The findings suggest that behind the aggregate stability in travel mode use over time there is much change 'under the surface', induced by life course changes, individual and household sociodemographic, and spatial context. The changes found induced by life course related key events favour the notion of mobility biographies. However, taken over all key events seem to be relatively loosely associated with mode use changes. Nonetheless, various significant effects of baseline variables suggest that mode use may change even in the absence of a key event. (C) 2012 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.