In Praise of the Old Time Religion
In Praise of the Old Time Religion
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赞美古老的宗教
DOI：
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发表时间：
1992
期刊：
影响因子：
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通讯作者：
R. Howard
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文献类型：
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作者：
R. Howard
让我首先说明为什么我积极参与决策分析基础的讨论。多年来，我一直在这个领域愉快地实践，相信所有关于该主题基础的重要问题现在都已被彻底理解并得到普遍认同。我知道，正如他们一直所做的那样，各种理论家正在发展决策理论的替代公理化，但我不相信由此产生的理论被认真地提出作为决策的基础。当一位著名的理论家向我明确表示，他在做出自己的某些决定时会拒绝普遍接受的决策分析规范时，不祥的预感就出现了。我之前已经描述过与引发我当前战斗态度的理论家的对话（Howard，1988）。不过，为了便于参考，我现在将重复一遍，因为它如此简洁地说明了当前的问题。
Let me begin by stating why I became an active participant in this discussion of the foundations of decision analysis. For many years, I had been blithely practicing in the field in the belief that all important questions about the underpinnings of the subject were now thoroughly understood and generally agreed upon. I knew that various theoreticians were developing alternate axiomatizations of decision theory, as they always had, but I did not believe that the resulting theories were being seriously proposed as bases for decision making. The onset of foreboding occurred when a prominent theorist made clear to me that he would reject a commonly accepted norm of decision analysis in making certain of his own decisions. I have previously described the conversation with the theorist that initiated my current militancy (Howard, 1988). However, I shall repeat it now for easy reference and because it so succinctly illustrates the issues at hand.