How storms affect fishers’ decisions about going to sea
How storms affect fishers’ decisions about going to sea
复制标题
风暴如何影响渔民出海的决定
DOI：
10.1093/icesjms/fsaa145
复制
发表时间：
2020
影响因子：
3.3
通讯作者：
Lisa Pfeiffer
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Lisa Pfeiffer
众所周知，渔民尽量避免在暴风雨天气捕鱼，因为暴风雨对渔民、他们的船只和渔具构成人身威胁。在这篇文章中，开发了一个数据集和方法，以调查渔民避免风暴的程度，估计风暴规避参数，并探讨这种反应如何在船舶特性和美国各地区的变化。这些数据包括来自美国六个联邦渔业的船只级旅行决策，以及来自国家气象局的海洋风暴警报数据。风暴回避的估计可用于参数化预报模型。渔民对风暴的厌恶随着船只大小的增加而减少，随着风暴警报的严重程度而增加。这一信息有助于我们了解渔民每次考虑出海时所评估的风险与收入的权衡，以及渔民采取适应行动以避免面临更多实际风险的倾向。
Fishermen are known to try to avoid fishing in stormy weather, as storms pose a physical threat to fishers, their vessels, and their gear. In this article, a dataset and methods are developed to investigate the degree to which fishers avoid storms, estimate storm aversion parameters, and explore how this response varies across vessel characteristics and across regions of the United States. The data consist of vessel-level trip-taking decisions from six federal fisheries across the United States combined with marine storm warning data from the National Weather Service. The estimates of storm aversion can be used to parameterize predictive models. Fishers’ aversion to storms decreases with increasing vessel size and increases with the severity of the storm warning. This information contributes to our understanding of the risk-to-revenue trade-off that fishers evaluate every time they consider going to sea, and of the propensity of fishers to take adaptive actions to avoid facing additional physical risk.
影响因子：
4.1
作者：
M. McDonald;Kristen L. Kucera
通讯作者：
M. McDonald;Kristen L. Kucera