The Effects of Monetary Policy in Japan

The Effects of Monetary Policy in Japan
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日本货币政策的影响

DOI:
10.1353/mcb.2002.0044
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发表时间:
2002
期刊:
Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking
影响因子:
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通讯作者:
Ryuzo Miyao
Ryuzo Miyao
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--
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作者:
Ryuzo Miyao

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本文对日本经济波动的根源进行时间序列分析,试图揭示20年来货币政策效果的可能特征。本文认为,考虑到日本银行的制度特征,将利率、货币、股价和产出作为一阶差分的简单的向量自回归(VAR)模型,可以作为日本的基准。主要的发现是,货币政策冲击实际上对真实的产出产生了持续的影响,特别是在20世纪80年代后期日本“泡沫经济”的兴衰中。
This article interprets time series facts regarding the sources of business fluctuations in Japan and attempts to uncover possible characteristics of the effects of monetary policy over the last two decades. It argues that given the institutional features of the Bank of Japan's operating procedures, a simple recursive vector autoregressive (VAR) model that consists of interest rates, money, stock prices, and output, all in first differences, may serve as a useful benchmark for Japan. The main finding is that monetary policy shocks in fact have a persistent effect on real output especially in the rise and fall of Japan's "bubble economy" in the late 1980s.
上田一夫:“日本货币政策的比较视角:短期货币控制和传导机制”日本货币政策。
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