Off-farm employment over the past four decades in rural China

Off-farm employment over the past four decades in rural China
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过去四十年中国农村的非农就业

DOI:
10.1108/caer-11-2017-0212
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发表时间:
2018-05
影响因子:
5.1
通讯作者:
Bai Yunli
Bai Yunli
中科院分区:
经济学3区
文献类型:
--
作者:
Zhang Linxiu;Dong Yongqing;Liu Chengfang;Bai Yunli

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本文的目的是对中国农村非农就业的发展趋势进行评价,以了解改革开放40年来中国农村非农就业的发展趋势。利用2000年和2008年进行的中国全国农村调查以及2005年、2008年、2012年和2016年进行的中国农村发展调查两组面板调查数据,这项研究提供了一个重新审视中国的小康-农业就业,为我们提供有关其演变的最新信息,以及农村劳动力市场是否以一种允许他们更有效地促进中国经济转型。通过对类型、目的地、行业和人口亚组的分解以及工资率的变化,进一步研究了非农就业的演变。数据显示,在整个研究期间,农村劳动力活动迅速增加。最值得注意的是,作者发现,非农就业的快速增长甚至一直持续到2008年之后和2010年代中期,当时一些人担心宏观经济条件可能会使农村居民留在农村或将他们赶回农村。在劳动力市场趋势的分解中,作者表明,劳动力市场的作用与经济从农业主导向其他生产形式主导的过渡以及人口不断变得更加城市化的经济相一致。作者认为,研究结果将有助于探索农村劳动力市场在过去40年中是否以更有效地促进中国经济转型的方式发展的问题。
The purpose of this paper is to evaluate the trend of off-farm employment in rural China over the past four decades since the reform and opening-up.,Using two sets of panel survey data, the China National Rural Survey conducted in 2000 and 2008, and the China Rural Development Survey conducted in 2005, 2008, 2012 and 2016, this study offers a re-visit of China’s off-farm employment to give us the latest information about its evolution and whether rural labor markets have developed in a way that will allow them to facilitate the transformation of China’s economy more effectively. The evolution of off-farm employment is further examined through decomposition of types, destinations, industries, and population sub-groups as well as the change in the wage rate.,The data show the rapid increase in rural labor activities over the whole study period. Most notably, the authors findnd that a rapid rise in off-farm employment has continued even until after 2008 and into the mid-2010s, which is a time when some feared that macroeconomic conditions might keep rural residents on the farm or drive them back to the farm. In the disaggregation of labor market trends, the authors show that labor markets are acting consistently with an economy that is in transition from being dominated by agriculture to being dominated by other forms of production and with a population that is consistently becoming more urban.,The authors believe that the results will contribute positively to the exploration of answers to the question whether or not rural labor markets have developed in a way that will allow them to facilitate the transformation of China’s economy more effectively over the last four decades.
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