Does Dieselization Favour a Cleaner Transport? Evidence from EU-15

Does Dieselization Favour a Cleaner Transport? Evidence from EU-15
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DOI:
10.1080/01441647.2011.566378
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发表时间:
2011-09
期刊:
影响因子:
9.8
通讯作者:
Mercedes Burguillo-Cuesta;Marta Jorge García-Inés;Desiderio Romero-Jordán
Mercedes Burguillo-Cuesta;Marta Jorge García-Inés;Desiderio Romero-Jordán
中科院分区:
工程技术1区
文献类型:
--
作者:
Mercedes Burguillo-Cuesta;Marta Jorge García-Inés;Desiderio Romero-Jordán

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20世纪90年代,欧盟柴油乘用车购买量大幅增长,柴油需求随之增加。解释消费者偏好变化的主要因素之一是柴油发动机燃烧技术的改进。在这种情况下,仅仅因为柴油车每公里的能源消耗低于汽油车,欧盟当局认为柴油车是一种现象,与运输政策目标相一致,以财政和技术政策促进消费者对柴油车偏好的改变。柴油车的进程得到了巩固;随着时间的推移,欧洲消费者一直保持着对柴油车的偏好。经济学文献缺乏柴油化的研究和柴油化环境后果的研究。然而,本文试图通过两个联立方程模型的估计,对欧盟近20年的新柴油乘用车需求和柴油需求进行分析,以期对这一问题有所了解。这一结果将有助于描述柴油化改变背后的主要因素。在此之后,我们将讨论欧洲社会选择柴油化的环境影响。
In the 1990s, purchases of diesel passenger cars in the EU had intensively grown, with the subsequent increase of diesel oil demand. One of the main factors explaining this change on consumer preferences was the improvement in combustion technology of diesel engines. In this context, just because diesel cars use less energy per kilometre than petrol ones, EU authorities have considered dieselization as a phenomenon harmonic with transport policy objectives enhancing the change in consumer preferences for diesel cars with fiscal and technical policies. The process of dieselization was consolidated; European consumers have maintained their preferences for diesel cars over time. The economic literature lacks in the study of dieselization and in the study of dieselization environmental consequences. However, this work tries to shed some light onto this issue analysing, through the estimation of a two-simultaneous-equations model, EU’s new diesel passenger car demand and diesel oil demand in the last two decades. The results will permit to characterize the main factors behind the change to dieselization. After this, we will discuss about the environmental implications of the European social option for dieselization.