Toward a simulation of minibuses in South Africa
Toward a simulation of minibuses in South Africa
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DOI：
10.5198/jtlu.2015.390
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发表时间：
2015-01-01
影响因子：
1.9
通讯作者：
Joubert, Johan W.
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Neumann, Andreas;Roeder, Daniel;Joubert, Johan W.
除了私家汽车，小巴出租车是南非最常见的交通方式。特别是对于居住在城镇的低收入公民来说，小型公共汽车服务往往是唯一的流动性。尽管该模式非常重要，但对路线、票价和小巴数量的了解却很少。因此，很难模拟和理解这种模式对其他模式和一般运输规划的影响。提出了第一个基于需求和路网的“贴近现实”的小客车供应模型。该模型采用适者生存的原则，采用协同进化算法，并将其集成到微观多智能体仿真框架中。南非纳尔逊曼德拉海湾地区市政当局的真实情况表明，它能够识别主要的小巴走廊，并在较低的地区找到强大的服务覆盖面。需求区域由此产生的小巴供应模型然后可以用于规划目的（例如，调查战略、运营或监管变化的各个方面）。
After private cars, minibus taxis are the most common transport mode in South Africa. Especially for low-income citizens living in townships, minibus services are often the only possibility for mobility. Despite the great importance of the mode, there is very little knowledge of routes, fares, and the number of minibuses. Hence, it is difficult to simulate and to understand the influence of this mode on other modes and on transport planning in general.. is article presents the development of the first "close-to-reality" minibus supply model based on demand and street network only The approach adopts the survival-of-the-fittest principle, using a co-evolutionary algorithm that is integrated into a microscopic multi-agent simulation framework The successful application of the approach to a large-scale, real-world scenario in the Nelson Mandela Bay Area Municipality in South Africa shows that it is able to identify the main minibus corridors as well as to find robust service coverage in lower-demand areas The resulting minibus supply model can then be used for planning purposes (e.g., to investigate aspects of strategic, operational, or regulatory changes).