Classification models for early identification of persons at risk for dementia in primary care: an evaluation in a sample aged 80 years and older.

Classification models for early identification of persons at risk for dementia in primary care: an evaluation in a sample aged 80 years and older.
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初级保健中早期识别痴呆风险人群的分类模型:对 80 岁及以上样本的评估。

DOI:
10.1159/000261501
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发表时间:
2009
影响因子:
2.4
通讯作者:
Johansson,Boo
Johansson,Boo
中科院分区:
医学4区
文献类型:
--
作者:
vandenKommer,TessaN;Bontempo,DanielE;Comijs,HannieC;Hofer,ScottM;Dik,MirandaG;Piccinin,AndreaM;Jonker,Cees;Deeg,DorlyJH;Johansson,Boo

文献摘要

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Aim:To evaluate previously developed classification models to make implementation in primary care possible and aid early identification of persons at risk for dementia.Methods:Data were drawn from the OCTO-Twin study. At baseline, 521 persons ≧80 years of age were nondemented, and for 387 a blood sample was available. Predictors of dementia were collected and analyzed in initially nondemented persons using generalized estimating equations and Cox survival analyses.Results:In the basic model using predictors already known or easily obtained (basic set), the mean 2-year predictive value increased from 6.9 to 28.8% in persons with memory complaints and an MMSE score ≤25. In the extended model, using both the basic set and an extended set of predictors requiring further assessment, the 8-year predictive value increased from 15.0 to 45.8% in persons with low cholesterol and an MMSE score ≤24.Conclusion:Both models can contribute to an improved early identification of persons at risk for dementia in primary care.