Ambiguity, Uncertainty and Implementation
Ambiguity, Uncertainty and Implementation
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模糊性、不确定性和实施
DOI：
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发表时间：
2021
影响因子：
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通讯作者：
Nathan Jeschke
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
K. Taylor;S. Zarb;Nathan Jeschke
在政策执行中，模糊性和不确定性的作用已被理论化，但没有得到充分的检验。这项研究有助于政策过程的文献，认为模糊性和不确定性是同一个硬币的两面在执行。其效果与政策的可信度、目标的明确性和代理能力有关。我们使用来自受飓风哈维影响的8个县和6个市的22名地方政府官员的原始定性数据，通过地方政府灾后政策的透镜分析模糊性和不确定性。我们发现，一项政策的可信度分别从制定者的可信度进行评估;经验缓和的模糊性的影响;和不确定性在实施中有类似的效果模糊性，并没有减少更多的信息。对模棱两可的情况进行政治操纵与收集更多信息以减少不确定性的理性、技术官僚方法之间的区别可能不像以前认为的那么清楚。
In policy implementation the roles of ambiguity and uncertainty have been theorized but insufficiently tested. This study contributes to the policy process literature by arguing that ambiguity and uncertainty are two sides of the same coin in implementation. Their effects are linked to the credibility of policy, the clarity of goals, and agency capacity. We analyze ambiguity and uncertainty through the lens of post-disaster policy in local government using primary qualitative data from 22 local government officials across 8 counties and 6 cities that were affected by Hurricane Harvey. We find that the credibility of a policy is evaluated separately from the credibility of the formulator; experience moderates the effects of ambiguity; and uncertainty in implementation has a similar effect as ambiguity and is not lessened with more information. The distinction between the political manipulation of ambiguous circumstances and the rational, technocratic approach to gathering more information to reduce uncertainty may be less clear than previously considered.