A PROTOCOL FOR BIRD STRIKE RISK ASSESSMENT AT AIRPORTS Dr
A PROTOCOL FOR BIRD STRIKE RISK ASSESSMENT AT AIRPORTS Dr
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发表时间：
2000
影响因子：
3.7
通讯作者：
J. Allan
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
J. Allan
为了使机场有效地管理鸟击风险，需要进行风险评估过程，以确定机场的主要危害，它们产生的风险水平，以及降低风险的最具成本效益的方法。尽管鸟类管制员、管理人员和顾问在其整个工作生涯中都会进行非正式的鸟击风险评估，但目前还没有普遍接受的评估机场鸟击风险的方法。运输业的其他部分，实际上是机场运营的其他部分，都需要进行详细的风险分析，通常在导致特定不利事件发生的过程的每一步都附有仔细计算的概率。鸟类行为的多变性和不可预测性，加上参与鸟击预防咨询的鸟类学家对正式的风险评估程序缺乏熟悉，导致鸟击预防在制定风险评估系统方面落后于机场安全的其他领域。本文的目的是为机场鸟击风险分析提供一个基本方案。其目的是，议定书应普遍适用于所有机场，并可进行修改，以适应世界各地不同机场的特殊情况。我并不认为这是鸟撞风险评估问题的最终答案，但希望它能激发人们进一步思考和开发更好的系统，从而有助于未来的飞行安全。
In order for airports to manage the bird strike risk effectively, a risk assessment process needs to be carried out to identify the major hazards at the airport, the levels of risk that they produce, and the most cost effective means of reducing that risk. Despite the fact that bird controllers, managers and consultants make informal bird strike risk assessments throughout their working lives, there is no generally accepted methodology for assessing bird strike risk at airports. Other parts of the transport industry, indeed other parts of airport operations, are subject to detailed risk analysis, often with carefully calculated probabilities attached to each step of the process that leads to a particular adverse event occurring. The variability, and consequent unpredictability, of bird behaviour, combined with the lack of familiarity of the ornithologists involved in bird strike prevention consultancy with the formal risk assessment process, has led to bird strike prevention lagging behind other areas of airport safety in the development of risk assessment systems. The aim of this paper is to produce a basic protocol for the analysis of bird strike risk on airports. The intention is that the protocol should be generally applicable to all airports, and can be modified to suit the particular circumstances at different airports around the world. I do not suggest that this is the definitive answer to the problem of bird strike risk assessment, but, hopefully, it will stimulate further thought and development of better systems that will contribute to flight safety in the future.