Digitization of industrial work: development paths and prospects
Digitization of industrial work: development paths and prospects
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DOI：
10.1007/s12651-016-0200-6
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发表时间：
2016-07-01
影响因子：
1.7
通讯作者：
Hirsch-Kreinsen, Hartmut
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Hirsch-Kreinsen, Hartmut
本文总结了关于在工业生产中逐步使用数字技术所产生的后果的思考和初步研究结果。重点尤其放在德国工业的情况上，在德国，这一发展被深入讨论为“工业4.0”。出发点是这样一种假设，即目前可以观察到工业生产中存在深远的技术推动。就文献所预见的对工业劳动力的潜在后果而言，目前正在讨论相互矛盾的发展情景。一方面，新技术可能导致的失业数量极具争议。另一方面，可以看出对工作活动和资质的不同影响，可分别解释为技能的“升级”和“两极分化”。然而，实际发生的具体变化取决于众多因素的影响。特别是，在每种情况下实现何种技术自动化概念以及其各自的实施过程，在这里都很重要。得出的结论是，从中期来看，预计数字技术及其后果最多只会有一定程度的有限传播。
This paper summarizes considerations and preliminary research results on the consequences of the progressive use of digital technologies in industrial work. The focus is particularly on the situation in German industry, where this development has been intensively discussed as "Industry 4.0". Starting point is the assumption that currently a far-reaching technology push in industrial production can be observed. In terms of the potential consequences for industrial labor foreseen by the literature, currently contradictory development scenarios are being discussed. For one thing, the volume of potential job losses caused by the new technologies is highly controversial. For another, diverging consequences for job activities and qualifications can be recognized, interpreted as the "upgrading", respectively "polarization" of skills. What concrete changes actually occur however, is dependent on the influence of numerous factors. Especially, what concept of technology automation is realized in each case, and its respective implementation process, is significant here. The conclusion reached is that, in the medium term, at the most a somewhat limited spread of digital technologies and their consequences can be expected to occur.