Greenhouse gas emissions and the role of the Kyoto Protocol
Greenhouse gas emissions and the role of the Kyoto Protocol
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DOI：
10.1007/s10018-012-0047-1
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发表时间：
2014-10-01
影响因子：
1.7
通讯作者：
Okada, Keisuke
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Iwata, Hiroki;Okada, Keisuke
我们的研究实证研究了《京都议定书》量化的排放限制或减排承诺对各种温室气体(GHG)排放的影响，这些温室气体包括二氧化碳(CO2)、甲烷(CH4)、一氧化二氮(N2O)以及其他由氢氟碳化合物(HFCs)、全氟碳化合物(PFC)和六氟化硫(SF6)组成的温室气体。这些温室气体排放被认为是全球变暖问题的主要来源，39个国家批准了通过批准《京都议定书》来履行承诺。我们的实证分析基于人口、富裕和技术回归的随机影响(STIRPAT)模型，该模型是IPAT模型的随机版本，使用了119个国家从1990年到2005年的数据。我们的主要发现是，对《京都议定书》的承诺的影响是(1)对二氧化碳和甲烷排放的显著负面影响，(2)对N2O排放的显著负面影响，以及(3)对其他温室气体排放的显著正面影响。这些结果对全球变暖问题具有重要的政策含义。
Our study empirically investigates the effects of the Kyoto Protocol's quantified emission limitation or reduction commitments on various greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions such as carbon dioxide (CO2), methane (CH4), nitrous oxide (N2O), and other greenhouse gases consisting of hydrofluorocarbons (HFCs), perfluorocarbons (PFCs), and sulfur hexafluoride (SF6). These GHG emissions are considered to be the main source of global warming issues, and 39 countries approved to meet the commitments by ratifying the Kyoto Protocol. Our empirical analysis is based on the Stochastic Impacts by Regression on Population, Affluence, and Technology (STIRPAT) model, the stochastic version of the IPAT model, using the data of 119 countries from 1990 to 2005. Our main findings are that the effects of the commitments to the Kyoto Protocol are (1) significantly negative for the cases of CO2 and CH4 emissions, (2) not significant for the case of N2O emissions, and (3) significantly positive for the case of other greenhouse gas emissions. These results have important policy implications for global warming issues.