Between Balancing and Bandwagoning: South Korea's Response to China

Between Balancing and Bandwagoning: South Korea's Response to China
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DOI:
10.1017/s1598240800002794
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发表时间:
2009-01-01
影响因子:
1.3
通讯作者:
Kang, David C.
Kang, David C.
中科院分区:
法学4区
文献类型:
--
作者:
Kang, David C.

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为什么韩国要迁就中国,而不是害怕它的增长,并与之抗衡?这篇文章提出了两个核心论点。首先,平衡和随波逐流的概念从根本上很难检验,就这一理论可以检验的程度而言,它在韩国似乎是错误的。事实上,我们观察到许多情况下,崛起中的大国既不平衡,也不“随波逐流”,只是在军事立场或结盟姿态上没有根本改变的情况下得到顺应。其次,解释韩国对中国外交政策取向的因素不仅与物质权力有关,也与利益有关。韩国认为中国的崛起带来的经济机会远远多于军事威胁;但更重要的是,韩国认为中国的目标没有直接威胁。
Why has South Korea accommodated China, instead of fearing its growth and balancing against it? This article makes two central arguments. First, concepts of balancing and bandwagoning are fundamentally difficult to test, and to the extent that the theory can be tested, it appears to be wrong in the case of South Korea. In fact, we observe many cases in which rising powers are neither balanced nor "bandwagoned" but are simply accommodated with no fundamental change either way in military stance or alignment posture. Second, the factors that explain South Korean foreign policy orientation toward China are as much about interests as they are about material power. South Korea sees substantially more economic opportunity than military threat associated with China's rise; but even more importantly, South Korea evaluates China's goals as not directly threatening.