Labour Market Shocks and the Demand for Trade Protection: Evidence from Online Surveys
Labour Market Shocks and the Demand for Trade Protection: Evidence from Online Surveys
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劳动力市场冲击和贸易保护需求：来自在线调查的证据
DOI：
10.3386/w25705
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发表时间：
2019
期刊：
影响因子：
--
通讯作者：
D. Rodrik
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Rafael di Tella;D. Rodrik
我们研究政府针对不同类型的劳动力市场冲击导致的裁员采取的行动偏好。我们考虑：技术变革、需求转移、管理不善和三种国际外包。为应对冲击而对政府干预的支持急剧上升，并且严重偏向于贸易保护。贸易冲击催生了更多的保护主义需求，而在贸易冲击中，外包给发展中国家则引发了更多的保护主义需求。 “管理不善”冲击是导致补偿性转移按预期增加的唯一情况。特朗普的支持者比克林顿的支持者更加保护主义，但偏好似乎很容易操纵：受到贸易冲击的克林顿支持者与特朗普的基线选民一样保护主义。强调出口国的劳工虐待行为会增加克林顿支持者对贸易保护的要求，但不会增加特朗普支持者的要求。
We study preferences for government action in response to layoffs resulting from different types of labour-market shocks. We consider: technological change, a demand shift, bad management and three kinds of international outsourcing. Support for government intervention rises sharply in response to shocks and is heavily biased towards trade protection. Trade shocks generate more demand for protectionism and, among trade shocks, outsourcing to a developing country elicits greater demand for protectionism. The ‘bad management’ shock is the only scenario that induces a desired increase in compensatory transfers. Trump supporters are more protectionist than Clinton supporters, but preferences seem easy to manipulate: Clinton supporters primed with trade shocks are as protectionist as baseline Trump voters. Highlighting labour abuses in the exporting country increases the demand for trade protection by Clinton supporters but not Trump supporters.
影响因子：
2
作者：
C. Blumberg
通讯作者：
C. Blumberg