How Parties Affect Vote Choice in European Integration Referendums
How Parties Affect Vote Choice in European Integration Referendums
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政党如何影响欧洲一体化公投中的投票选择
DOI：
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发表时间：
2006
期刊：
影响因子：
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通讯作者：
S. Hobolt
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
S. Hobolt
直接民主允许公民削弱他们选出的代表的意志。然而，虽然选民在全民投票中拥有最后发言权，但政党在影响选民对选票上问题的看法方面处于有利地位。本文通过建立一个关于公民投票中投票行为的模型，研究政党如何以及在多大程度上影响公民投票结果。它认为，政党作为全民投票运动的关键信息提供者，可以影响投票提案的框架和与投票提案相关的不确定性，从而反过来影响投票行为。这些命题进行评估经验的“控制比较”的两个丹麦公民投票的马斯特里赫特条约，因为这些情况下，让我们研究如何在党的战略变化影响公民投票结果的变化。
Direct democracy allows citizens to undercut the will of their elected representatives. Yet, while the electorate has the final say in referendums, political parties are in a privileged position to influence voters’ perceptions of the issue on the ballot. By developing a model on voting behaviour in referendums, this article examines how and to what extent parties can influence referendum outcomes. It argues that as pivotal information providers in referendum campaigns, political parties can influence the framing of and uncertainty associated with the ballot proposal and thus, in turn, affect voting behaviour. These propositions are evaluated empirically in a ‘controlled comparison’ of the two Danish referendums on the Maastricht Treaty, as these cases allow us to examine how changes in party strategies affect changes in referendum outcomes.