KNOWLEDGE ACTION NETWORKS Connecting regional climate change assessments to local action
KNOWLEDGE ACTION NETWORKS Connecting regional climate change assessments to local action
复制标题
知识行动网络 将区域气候变化评估与地方行动联系起来
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发表时间:
2010
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通讯作者:
S. Daultrey
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作者:
S. Daultrey
CLIMATE ADAPTATION February 2010 KNOWLEDGE ACTION NETWORKS Connecting regional climate change assessments to local action Sustainability Solutions Institute and Scripps Institution of Oceanography, University of California, San Diego; Global Water Initiative, University of Cambridge/UCSD Global Water Initiative, University of Cambridge/UCSD C.F. Kennel S. Daultrey Making knowledge ‘decision ready’ In addressing complex collective action problems, such as mitigation of global climate change and adaptation to its effects, we ask: when is knowledge ready to be conveyed responsibly to non-experts? When do experts know they know something? At what point does research become ‘established knowledge’? The climate urgency has required acceleration of the process by which recently acquired knowledge becomes decision-ready. New questions arise. Is established knowledge the same as decision-ready knowledge? How can specialists best convey their conclusions to the decision maker? Is the expert community doing all the studies needed for policy analysis? What is the best way to convey the meaning of scientific uncertainty to policy makers and thence to decision makers and to the public? For climate science, this is problematic. While the climate science community may have reached consensus on the causes of climate change, communicating the science of the consequences of climate change, complete with its complexities and un- certainties, is perhaps the greatest challenge for the contemporary interface between science and policy. The boundaries of ownership of the problem are disputed and dynamic. There is no certainty in the scale and range of the mid- to long-term effects of climate change, and global responsibility for decisions does not rest clearly with any single agency or community. The decision-making time-frame of governments varies widely (in the UK, on a cycle of about three to five years); decisions made may affect whole countries, yet the impacts of climate change are highly differentiated at region and state level. The uncertainties only highlight, compound and exacerbate the stresses already present at the intersections between conflicting priorities. The challenges posed by climate change are transgenerational and are therefore significant tests of humanity’s ability to overcome the collective action dilemma – to innovate and to design equitable, flexible, lasting solutions that are locally appropriate and that Akbar Moyadian/UNEP