BRICK v0.1, a simple, accessible, and transparent model framework for climate and regional sea-level projections
BRICK v0.1, a simple, accessible, and transparent model framework for climate and regional sea-level projections
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BRICK v0.1，一个简单、可访问且透明的气候和区域海平面预测模型框架
DOI：
10.5194/gmd-2016-303
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发表时间：
2017
期刊：
影响因子：
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通讯作者：
K. Keller
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
T. Wong;A. Bakker;Kelsey L. Ruckert;P. Applegate;A. Slangen;K. Keller
简单的模型可以在量化和确定气候变化和海平面上升的不确定性方面发挥关键作用。它们在计算上是高效的，透明的，并且更容易复制。这些特性使得简单的模型对于不确定性量化和风险表征非常有用。简单的模型代码越来越多地作为开源发布，并积极共享和指导。唉，地球科学中使用的计算机代码往往很难访问、运行、修改（例如，关于假设和模型组成部分）和审查。在这里，我们介绍了一个简单的模型框架，用于预测全球平均温度以及区域海平面和沿海洪水风险（BRICK：相关冰和气候知识的积木）。BRICK模型框架是用R和Fortran编写的，旨在帮助缓解这些问题，同时保持高度的计算效率。我们证明了这个框架的灵活性，通过简单的模型相互比较实验。此外，我们证明了砖是适合于风险评估的应用程序，通过使用一个教学的例子，在当地的洪水风险管理。
Simple models can play pivotal roles in the quantification and framing of uncertainties surrounding climate change and sea-level rise. They are computationally efficient, transparent, and easier to reproduce. These qualities make simple models useful for uncertainty quantification and risk characterization. Simple model codes are increasingly distributed as open source, as well as actively shared and guided. Alas, computer codes used in the geosciences can often be hard to access, run, modify (e.g., with regards to assumptions and model components), and review. Here, we introduce a simple model framework for projections of global mean temperatures as well as regional sea levels and coastal flood risk (BRICK: Building blocks for Relevant Ice and Climate Knowledge). The BRICK model framework is written in R and Fortran and aims to help mitigate these issues, while maintaining a high degree of computational efficiency. We demonstrate the flexibility of this framework through simple model intercomparison experiments. Furthermore, we demonstrate that BRICK is suitable for risk assessment applications by using a didactic example in local flood risk management.