Imagined futures: fictional expectations in the economy
Imagined futures: fictional expectations in the economy
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DOI：
10.1007/s11186-013-9191-2
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发表时间：
2013-05-01
影响因子：
2.9
通讯作者：
Beckert, Jens
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Beckert, Jens
本文从假设经济环境中的决策情境具有根本不确定性出发，论证了有意理性的行为者的决策是建立在虚构的基础上的。经济活动中的“虚构性”是对想象中的世界未来状态的想象，以及对导致这种未来状态的因果机制的信念。参与者在行动中受到想象的未来的激励，并根据这些心理表征来组织他们的活动。由于这些表述并不局限于经验现实，虚构的预期也是经济中创造力的一个来源。虚构性为理解经济动态的微观基础开辟了一条道路。这篇文章发展了虚构预期的概念。它讨论了虚构的预期对经济动态的作用，并解决了虚构的预期如何激励行动的问题。最后一部分将小说的概念与计算和社会宏观结构，特别是制度和文化框架联系起来。结论提示本研究方案是从虚构期望概念发展而来的。
Starting from the assumption that decision situations in economic contexts are characterized by fundamental uncertainty, this article argues that the decision-making of intentionally rational actors is anchored in fictions. "Fictionality" in economic action is the inhabitation in the mind of an imagined future state of the world and the beliefs in causal mechanisms leading to this future state. Actors are motivated in their actions by the imagined future and organize their activities based on these mental representations. Since these representations are not confined to empirical reality, fictional expectations are also a source of creativity in the economy. Fictionality opens up a way to an understanding of the microfoundations of the dynamics of the economy. The article develops the notion of fictional expectations. It discusses the role of fictional expectations for the dynamics of the economy and addresses the question of how fictional expectations motivate action. The last part relates the notion of fiction to calculation and social macrostructures, especially institutions and cultural frames. The conclusion hints at the research program developing from the concept of fictional expectations.