Identifying Trade‐Offs and Reconciling Competing Demands for Water: Integrating Agriculture Into a Robust Decision‐Making Framework
Identifying Trade‐Offs and Reconciling Competing Demands for Water: Integrating Agriculture Into a Robust Decision‐Making Framework
复制标题
确定权衡并协调水的竞争需求：将农业纳入稳健的决策框架
DOI：
10.1002/2017ef000741
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发表时间：
2018
期刊：
影响因子：
--
通讯作者：
Joe Morris
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
J. Knox;D. Haro;Tim Hess;Joe Morris
由于人口增长和社会经济发展、环境法规和未来气候的不确定性，对水的需求日益增加，这突出了水供应的局限性。这种水-能源-食品-环境关系不仅限于半干旱地区，而且正在成为潮湿和温带国家的一个关键商业，社会和经济风险，在这些国家，丰富的水供应和监管历来应对工业，发电，农业，家庭供应和环境之间的波动需求。在英国，灌溉是对降雨的补充，消耗性使用，集中在最干旱的年份和资源紧张的集水区。本文描述了一种混合方法的实证应用，将农业整合到一个强大的决策框架中，重点放在英格兰的水资源紧张地区。这一办法表明，部门之间相互竞争的需求是可以调和的，而且可以确定与多部门合作和投资相容的潜在备选办法或组合。描述了在预测农业需求、定义可接受的权衡、管理规模和不确定性问题方面的方法挑战，以及在利益相关者之间开展公开对话的重要性。该研究为存在类似水需求冲突紧急问题的国家提供了宝贵的见解。
Increasing demands for water, driven by population growth and socioeconomic development, environmental regulations and future climate uncertainty, are highlighting limitations on water supplies. This water‐energy‐food‐environment nexus is not confined to semiarid regions but is emerging as a key business, societal, and economic risk in humid and temperate countries, where abundant water supplies and regulation have historically coped with fluctuating demands between industry, power generation, agriculture, domestic supply, and the environment. In the United Kingdom, irrigation is supplemental to rainfall, consumptive in use, and concentrated in the driest years and most resource‐stressed catchments. This paper describes an empirical application of a mixed methods approach to integrate agriculture into a robust decision‐making framework, focusing on a water‐stressed region in England. The approach shows that competing demands between sectors can be reconciled and that potential options or portfolios compatible with multisectoral collaboration and investment can be identified. The methodological challenges in forecasting agricultural demand, defining acceptable trade‐offs, managing scale and uncertainty issues, and the importance of engendering open dialogue between stakeholders are described. The study provides valuable insights for countries where similar emergent issues regarding conflicts over water demand exist.
影响因子：
6.4
作者：
Matrosov, Evgenii S.;Woods, Ashley M.;Harou, Julien J.
通讯作者：
Harou, Julien J.