Six Climate Change-Related Events In The United States Accounted For About $14 Billion In Lost Lives And Health Costs
Six Climate Change-Related Events In The United States Accounted For About $14 Billion In Lost Lives And Health Costs
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DOI：
10.1377/hlthaff.2011.0229
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发表时间：
2011-11-01
期刊：
影响因子：
9.7
通讯作者：
Solomon, Gina M.
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Knowlton, Kim;Rotkin-Ellman, Miriam;Solomon, Gina M.
与预测的气候变化相关事件（如飓风、热浪和洪水）相关的未来健康成本预计将是巨大的。本文估计了2000年至2009年间袭击美国的六起与气候变化有关的事件所带来的健康成本。这六个案例研究来自与气候变化相关的事件类别，预计随着全球持续变暖而恶化——臭氧污染、热浪、飓风、传染病爆发、河流洪水和野火。我们估计，医疗费用超过140亿美元，其中95%是由于过早死亡造成的。实际保健费用估计为7.4亿美元。这反映了与卫生保健系统的76万多次接触。我们的分析为科学家和政策制定者提供了一种方法，用于估计与气候变化有关的未来卫生成本，并强调了对公共卫生准备的日益增长的需求。
The future health costs associated with predicted climate change-related events such as hurricanes, heat waves, and floods are projected to be enormous. This article estimates the health costs associated with six climate change-related events that struck the United States between 2000 and 2009. The six case studies came from categories of climate change-related events projected to worsen with continued global warming-ozone pollution, heat waves, hurricanes, infectious disease outbreaks, river flooding, and wildfires. We estimate that the health costs exceeded $14 billion, with 95 percent due to the value of lives lost prematurely. Actual health care costs were an estimated $740 million. This reflects more than 760,000 encounters with the health care system. Our analysis provides scientists and policy makers with a methodology to use in estimating future health costs related to climate change and highlights the growing need for public health preparedness.