Energy Demand Forecasting

Energy Demand Forecasting
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能源需求预测

DOI:
10.1007/978-0-85729-268-1_5
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发表时间:
2019
期刊:
影响因子:
12.8
通讯作者:
S. Bhattacharyya
S. Bhattacharyya
中科院分区:
经济学2区
文献类型:
--
作者:
S. Bhattacharyya

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本章介绍了用于预测能源需求的替代方法,并讨论了它们的优缺点。它既包括基于指标的简单方法,也包括使用计量经济学方法、最终用途方法和其他方法的更复杂的方法。本章建立在Chaps中介绍的材料的基础上。3和4,并解释了如何扩展需求分析工具以对未来进行预测。这一章既包括简单的方法,也包括更复杂的方法。
This chapter presents alternative approaches used in forecasting energy demand and discusses their pros and cons. It covers both simple approaches based on indicators and more sophisticated approaches using econometric methods, end-use method and other approaches. The chapter builds on the materials presented in Chaps. 3 and 4 and explains how demand analysis tools are extended to make forecasts for the future. The chapter covers both simple and more sophisticated approaches.