Processes of adaptation in farm decision-making models. A review
Processes of adaptation in farm decision-making models. A review
复制标题
农场决策模型的适应过程。
DOI：
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复制
发表时间：
2016
影响因子：
7.3
通讯作者：
J. Bergez
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
M. Robert;Alban Thomas;J. Bergez
农业生产系统应迅速发展，以科普气候变化引起的风险。农民应调整其管理战略，以保持竞争力，满足社会对可持续粮食系统的需求。因此，必须了解农民在适应方面所采用的决策过程。生物经济和生物决策模型特别涉及适应过程。在这里，我们回顾生物经济和生物决策模型，其中战略和战术决策包括在动态适应和基于预期的过程中，在40篇文献文章。主要观点是：适应性、灵活性和动态过程是表征农民决策的常见方式。适应是一个被动或主动的过程，取决于农民的灵活性和预期能力。不同的建模方法被用来在时间和空间上对决策阶段进行建模，并且一些方法可以组合起来表示顺序决策过程。
Agricultural production systems should evolve fast to cope with risks induced by climate change. Farmers should adapt their management strategies to stay competitive and satisfy the societal demand for sustainable food systems. It is therefore important to understand the decision-making processes used by farmers for adaptation. Processes of adaptation are in particular addressed by bio-economic and bio-decision models. Here, we review bio-economic and bio-decision models, in which strategic and tactical decisions are included in dynamic adaptive and expectation-based processes, in 40 literature articles. The major points are: adaptability, flexibility, and dynamic processes are common ways to characterize farmers’ decision-making. Adaptation is either a reactive or a proactive process depending on farmer flexibility and expectation capabilities. Various modeling methods are used to model decision stages in time and space, and some methods can be combined to represent a sequential decision-making process.