Lessons Learned from Coupled Fire-Atmosphere Research and Implications for Operational Fire Prediction and Meteorological Products Provided by the Bureau of Meteorology to Australian Fire Agencies
Lessons Learned from Coupled Fire-Atmosphere Research and Implications for Operational Fire Prediction and Meteorological Products Provided by the Bureau of Meteorology to Australian Fire Agencies
复制标题
从火灾-大气耦合研究中汲取的经验教训以及对气象局向澳大利亚消防机构提供的业务火灾预测和气象产品的影响
DOI：
10.3390/atmos11121380
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发表时间：
2020
期刊：
影响因子：
2.9
通讯作者：
J. Bally
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
M. Peace;J. Charney;J. Bally
火灾-大气耦合模型是集成了火灾成分和大气成分的模拟器，其目的是捕获火灾和大气之间的相互作用。当火在燃烧过程中释放能量时，周围的大气会根据能量通量进行调整；火-气氛耦合（CFA）模型旨在解决这些调整发生的过程。国际上已经开发了几种 CFA 模型，主要由气象机构开发，主要用作研究工具。研究为火灾周围的一些大气过程提供了宝贵的见解。由于密集的计算要求，实时运行 CFA 模型的潜力目前受到限制。此外，还需要进行系统验证，以确定其准确性和使用的适当环境。气象局（以下简称气象局）负责向澳大利亚消防机构提供相关且准确的气象信息，为保护生命和财产的决策提供信息，并支持危害管理活动。包含根据火灾释放的能量进行调整的时间和空间详细气象场被视为开发火灾预测系统的一个组成部分，该系统捕获一些最具影响力的火灾和天气行为。该局的十年研究和开发计划包括致力于开发 CFA 模型，目的是为澳大利亚消防机构提供增强的服务。本文讨论了火灾预测和模拟器的操作使用、从 CFA 模型中学到的知识以及该局使用 CFA 模型支持火灾预测活动的潜在未来方向。
Coupled fire-atmosphere models are simulators that integrate a fire component and an atmospheric component, with the objective of capturing interactions between the fire and atmosphere. As a fire releases energy in the combustion process, the surrounding atmosphere adjusts in response to the energy fluxes; coupled fire-atmosphere (CFA) models aim to resolve the processes through which these adjustments occur. Several CFA models have been developed internationally, mostly by meteorological institutions and primarily for use as a research tool. Research studies have provided valuable insights into some of the atmospheric processes surrounding a fire. The potential to run CFA models in real time is currently limited due to the intensive computational requirements. In addition, there is a need for systematic verification to establish their accuracy and the appropriate circumstances for their use. The Bureau of Meteorology (the Bureau) is responsible for providing relevant and accurate meteorological information to Australian fire agencies to inform decisions for the protection of life and property and to support hazard management activities. The inclusion of temporally and spatially detailed meteorological fields that adjust in response to the energy released by a fire is seen as a component in developing fire prediction systems that capture some of the most impactful fire and weather behavior. The Bureau’s ten-year research and development plan includes a commitment to developing CFA models, with the objective of providing enhanced services to Australian fire agencies. This paper discusses the operational use of fire predictions and simulators, learnings from CFA models and potential future directions for the Bureau in using CFA models to support fire prediction activities.
2007 年圣安娜火灾的实时模拟
影响因子：
3.7
作者：
Kochanski, A.K.;Jenkins, M.A.;Mandel, J.;Beezley, J.D.;Krueger, S.K.
通讯作者：
Krueger, S.K.