The effects of climate variability and change on grape suitability in Europe
The effects of climate variability and change on grape suitability in Europe
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气候变率和变化对欧洲葡萄适宜性的影响
DOI：
10.1080/09571269208717931
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发表时间：
1992
影响因子：
--
通讯作者：
P. Harrison
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
G. Kenny;P. Harrison
纬度-温度指数（LTI）结合冬季严重度约束来评估欧洲不同地区葡萄的气候适宜性。利用1951-1980年期间的期间平均值和个别年份数据进行了详细的分析。这样可以确定四个广泛定义的葡萄品种组（冷气候到热气候葡萄）的适合性核心区域。还确定了适宜性北部边缘和不同群体之间的边缘区域。通过这种方法可以更清楚地了解葡萄在欧洲的分布情况。气候变化对葡萄适宜性可能产生的影响也进行了评价。几个一般环流模式（GCMs）的输出已用于调整周期平均值和个别年份数据以及为这些调整后的数据计算的LTI。虽然在气候变化的幅度和时间方面存在一系列不确定性，但它是……
Abstract A latitude‐temperature index (LTI) has been used in combination with a winter severity constraint to assess climate suitability of grapes in different regions of Europe. A detailed analysis has been carried out using period mean and individual year data for the 1951–1980 period. This allows for identification of core areas of suitability for each of four broadly defined grape cultivar groupings (cool to hot‐climate grapes). Areas that are at the northern margins of suitability, and that are marginal between different groups are also identified. A much clearer picture of the present distribution of grapes in Europe is given by this approach. The possible effect of climate change on grape suitability has also been evaluated. Output from several general circulation models (GCMs) have been used to adjust the period mean and individual year data and the LTI calculated for these adjusted data. While there is a range of uncertainty, both in relation to the magnitude and timing of climate change, it is e...