The tide to come -: Elderly health in Latin America and the Caribbean
The tide to come -: Elderly health in Latin America and the Caribbean
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DOI：
10.1177/0898264305285664
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发表时间：
2006-04-01
影响因子：
2.8
通讯作者：
Peláez, M
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Palloni, A;McEniry, M;Peláez, M
本文介绍了一个猜想，并回顾了拉丁美洲和加勒比地区(LAC)人口老龄化中可能影响未来老年人健康状况的特殊性的部分证据。使用老年人健康和幸福调查数据(SABE；n=10,902)，作者估计了儿童早期状况对成人糖尿病和心脏病的影响。使用Waaler型表面，作者获得了Sabe和美国老年人的预期死亡风险(健康和退休系统，n=12,527)。在LAC的老年人中使用Waaler类型表面的预期死亡风险反映了支持我们猜测的过度。有部分证据表明儿童早期营养状况的各种指标(膝盖高度、腰臀比)与糖尿病有关，更有力的证据表明风湿热与成人心脏病之间存在联系。尽管证据不充分，但有一些证据表明，关于老年人健康状况与早期疾病之间的联系的猜测有一定的道理。
This article introduces a conjecture and reviews partial evidence about peculiarities in the aging of populations in Latin America and the Caribbean (LAC) that may impact future elderly health status. Using Survey on Health and Well-Being of Elders data (SABE; n = 10,902), the authors estimated effects of early childhood conditions on adult diabetes and heart disease. Using Waaler-type surfaces, the authors obtained expected mortality risks for SABE and also U.S. elderly (Health and Retirement System, n = 12,527). Expected mortality risks using Waaler-type surfaces among elderly in LAC reflected excesses supporting our conjecture. There was partial evidence of a relation between various indicators of early childhood nutritional status (knee height, waist-to-hip ratio) and diabetes and even stronger evidence of a relation between rheumatic fever and adult heart disease. There is some evidence, albeit weak, to suggest that the conjecture regarding elderly health status' connection to early conditions has some merit.